No. 20 West Virginia falls at Texas

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Also, I'd need to get Texas at something like +275 and up for me to bet the Longhorns to pull off a home upset.

The Mountaineers will lean heavily on forwards Oscar Tshiebwe (11.1 ppg, 9.3 rpg) and Derek Culver (10.4 ppg, 8.7 rpg) to dominate the Longhorns near the basket on both ends of the court. The Mountaineers have lost five consecutive Big 12 road games, including Saturday's overtime loss at TCU.

Texas might have trouble putting up points as they go head-to-head against one of the NCAA's best defenses.

The Mountaineers are averaging 70.6 points per game and allowing 61.5 points against this season.

West Virginia has lost their last five games on the road but more importantly, West Virginia has had trouble scoring. As a team, Texas is averaging 64.6 points on 42.9% shooting from the field, 33.7% from 3-point range and 67.4% from the foul line while allowing 63.5 points on 42.2% shooting from the field and 32.4% from 3-point range this season.

The Longhorns have won their last two games (against conference bottom feeders TCU and Kansas State) following four straight losses.

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The Longhorns rank 92nd in three pointers attempted per game (23.7) while the Mountaineers rank 284th (17.8).

Texas doesn't have much scoring on their side either.

The Longhorns are 4-11 ATS in its last 15 home games. The victory secured at least a share of the Big 12 regular season title for the second-ranked Bears (26-1).

Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than.400. The Longhorns certainly want to avoid the embarrassing result they had when playing at West Virginia and considering they are coming in with some confidence, I'll gladly take the points on their home floor.

The Mountaineers have been outscored by an average of 3.8 points in their last five games.

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