The second most-viewed Best Picture nominee is Dunkirk, which 15% of the public has seen.
His first nomination for "Oscar" directed by John Houston received in 1941. It is always a safe bet to pick a war film for these two (see "Hacksaw Ridge" from last year), and it is very rarely split between two films.
Viewers will just have to wait and see if that extra time will translate into longer speeches by the winners. As a late-night talk-show host, the comedy of Jimmy Kimmel - who is this year's host - is topical and often edgy, and it is safe to assume he will bring some of that late-night edginess to the Oscars.
And the victor will be Allison Janney ("I, Tonya") as an abusive, potty-mouthed "Mommy Dearest" to a talented daughter she simultaneously supports and destroys. She's likely to win here, too. Saoirse Ronan, who I absolutely adore, is the best part about "Lady Bird".
Don't cry for her, but Madonna didn't get enough best actress votes to earn a nod for the musical Evita.
Sam Rockwell is expected to join his "Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri" costar Frances McDormand in the winner's circle.
Coyle: Rockwell is the favorite, but I smell an upset.
Bahr: It is Willem Dafoe who gives "The Florida Project" its beating heart. Indeed, the degree to which the actors in the following categories get caught up in their idea of character (to the detriment of their line delivery) does not seem to have an impact on the final results, sadly.Читайте также: West Brom 1-2 Huddersfield Town: Terriers climb
Most of the major entertainment sites are sure that Gary Oldman will hold the Oscars for the Best Actor Award this year for his performance in Darkest Hour.
And, the victor will be Gary Oldman ("Darkest Hour"). Thanks to great makeup (which will win), he made a convincing Winston Churchill.
Greta Gerwig is only the fifth woman in Oscars history to be nominated for best director, but faces tough competition from Guillermo Del Toro, the favorite for "The Shape of Water", Christopher Nolan ("Dunkirk"), Jordan Peele ("Get Out") and Paul Thomas Anderson ("Phantom Thread"). There is nothing usual about "The Shape of Water", but nothing about the film should be changed. The film was visually stunning and a worthy recipient.
But Entertainment Weekly, The Hollywood Reporter and Variety forecast that The Shape of Water could win.
Host Jimmy Kimmel is not among them, even though he thinks there should be severe penalties if there's a repeat. The only one which could really challenge this is "This Is Me" from "The Greatest Showman". "Dunkirk" is masterful, "The Shape of Water" is gorgeous, but I think "Blade Runner 2049" is the victor.
Other Best Picture nominees include Call Me By Your Name, Darkest Hour, Get Out, Phantom Thread, Lady Bird, and The Post. None of those eight women won the Oscar.
That leaves "Three Billboards" and "The Shape of Water". Traditionally, last year's Best Actor would also present the Best Actress category, however, in January, it was revealed that Casey Affleck withdrew himself from the task this year after his win for Manchester by the Sea faced backlash over past allegations of misconduct against him. A "Three Billboards" voter might list "Shape of Water" toward the bottom of their ballot, and a "Shape of Water" voter might have "Three Billboards" toward the bottom of theirs, but both voters probably have "Lady Bird" as their No. 2/3. A win in that category would suggest momentum or consolation.
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